Kostya: Alright, Nikita, what's your plan...?
💭Pavel: Three locations, how can I deduce which location was most likely the target location? Location A is only 7 minutes away from my current location, I could check that first.
However, the other two locations are in the opposite direction from Location A... So, if Location A is not the target, I'll have wasted 7 minutes getting there, plus another 7 coming back to my current position.
Nikita will only be able to stall Kostya for so long... so I can't check every location. If my brother doesn't produce a plan quickly enough, the killer could escape.
The morgue is 35 minutes away from my position, and I'm in between the morgue and Location A, so Location A is 42 minutes away from the morgue... That's not that close...
The killer's game is very precise and doesn't allow for mishaps. The target is chosen well in advance because of the riddles left at the previous victim's murder scene.
Thus, this killer WILL kill the target, but how can you guarantee a kill? I suppose you must follow the victim at all times... so you can kill them at the correct moment to continue the game... Risky business...
From the time the target leaves work... If the chosen target was the person living at Location A, the killer would need to tail them for 42 minutes, but with traffic that could be 84 minutes. Being tailed for 84 minutes is extremely suspicious and could compromise the entire murder plan. There's very little chance the killer picked this target.
So now between Location B and C, Location B is on a direct highway route to the morgue so it's only 12 minutes away from the morgue. Location B is also only 12 minutes away from me. But Location B is in a high-rise apartment.
I think the most reasonable location is Location C, which is 15 minutes away from my location and 20 minutes away from the morgue. This location is also adjacent to a forest... so the killer would have a good vantage point if he were to choose this location.
Once I get there, I need to be extremely sneaky. If this is the correct location, the killer will be watching.
I've already spent 40 seconds thinking; I need to move. My brother needs to provide Kostya with a plan as soon as possible.
*17 minutes later*
Nikita: Give me a couple minutes, I can figure it out.
Kostya: Nikita, any ideas yet? I need something.
Nikita: Yeah, one moment, I think I got it.
Kostya: I'll send the team in if you can't figure out where this guy is...
*Continue waiting for Pavel*
Nikita: You don't have the resources to cover all three locations!
Kostya: How will the killer know we are creating a perimeter?
Nikita: It's not that he will know that we are trapping him, it's that there is a 67% chance you pick the wrong location.
Kostya: We can send men to each location.
Nikita: Then you're spreading your men thin, and you can miss him even if you pick the correct location!
Kostya: If he's watching his murder scene until the investigating begins, we can hit all three locations.
Nikita: This is what will happen. We will pick a location at random... then once we don't find him, media coverage will come.
Kostya: What's the big deal about the media?
Nikita: Once the media covers the story, he will catch wind of this and flee the scene, this killer is smart.
Kostya: You think he will run right away? You said he waits for us to investigate the scene.
Nikita: Creating a perimeter around a potential crime scene will make him run. There's a 67% chance you miss him.
*Kostya rubs his chin*
Nikita: We need to conceal our hand until we have a winning hand.